Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-03 House Election Winner
CT-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$579 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$2,015 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,594Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,594Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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