**Recent negotiations produced a June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire, yet Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have stated any final nuclear accord must receive Senate approval and meet strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capacity.** Bipartisan lawmakers have demanded formal review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and have already passed war-powers resolutions asserting oversight of related military actions. With the administration facing internal divisions and both parties signaling reluctance to endorse terms short of maximal Iranian concessions, traders assign a 90 percent probability that Congress will withhold approval before year-end. Ongoing technical talks and the absence of a submitted agreement text reinforce expectations that partisan and procedural hurdles will block passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
13% шанс
$12,413 Обс.
$12,413 Обс.
Jan 1, 2027
13% шанс
$12,413 Обс.
$12,413 Обс.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent negotiations produced a June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire, yet Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have stated any final nuclear accord must receive Senate approval and meet strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capacity.** Bipartisan lawmakers have demanded formal review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and have already passed war-powers resolutions asserting oversight of related military actions. With the administration facing internal divisions and both parties signaling reluctance to endorse terms short of maximal Iranian concessions, traders assign a 90 percent probability that Congress will withhold approval before year-end. Ongoing technical talks and the absence of a submitted agreement text reinforce expectations that partisan and procedural hurdles will block passage.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,413Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent negotiations produced a June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire, yet Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have stated any final nuclear accord must receive Senate approval and meet strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capacity.** Bipartisan lawmakers have demanded formal review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and have already passed war-powers resolutions asserting oversight of related military actions. With the administration facing internal divisions and both parties signaling reluctance to endorse terms short of maximal Iranian concessions, traders assign a 90 percent probability that Congress will withhold approval before year-end. Ongoing technical talks and the absence of a submitted agreement text reinforce expectations that partisan and procedural hurdles will block passage.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$12,413Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent negotiations produced a June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding that launched 60-day talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire, yet Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton have stated any final nuclear accord must receive Senate approval and meet strict conditions such as full dismantlement of enrichment capacity.** Bipartisan lawmakers have demanded formal review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and have already passed war-powers resolutions asserting oversight of related military actions. With the administration facing internal divisions and both parties signaling reluctance to endorse terms short of maximal Iranian concessions, traders assign a 90 percent probability that Congress will withhold approval before year-end. Ongoing technical talks and the absence of a submitted agreement text reinforce expectations that partisan and procedural hurdles will block passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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