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Політика·Первинні

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Manny Rutinel 72%

Shannon Bird 23%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,867 Обс.

Manny Rutinel 72%

Shannon Bird 23%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,867 Обс.

Manny Rutinel

$12,896 Обс.

72%

Shannon Bird

$2,688 Обс.

23%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,039 Обс.

1%

Dave Young

$1,663 Обс.

<1%

John Szemler

$1,237 Обс.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,345 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Colorado's battleground 8th Congressional District, trader consensus prices state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the clear Democratic primary frontrunner at 71.5% implied probability ahead of the June 30 vote, driven by his legislative experience, fundraising strength, and early momentum in a two-way race with former Rep. Shannon Bird (23.5%). EMILYs List escalated the contest on May 13 with a seven-figure ad buy boosting Bird for protecting Medicaid while attacking Rutinel's votes for cuts, following his April $50,000 digital campaign criticizing her ICE record. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal consolidated support behind the top contenders, with others like Treasurer Dave Young fading amid electability focus for the fall matchup against GOP Rep. Gabe Evans. Independents, at 44% of voters, loom large for general election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,867
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Colorado's battleground 8th Congressional District, trader consensus prices state Rep. Manny Rutinel as the clear Democratic primary frontrunner at 71.5% implied probability ahead of the June 30 vote, driven by his legislative experience, fundraising strength, and early momentum in a two-way race with former Rep. Shannon Bird (23.5%). EMILYs List escalated the contest on May 13 with a seven-figure ad buy boosting Bird for protecting Medicaid while attacking Rutinel's votes for cuts, following his April $50,000 digital campaign criticizing her ICE record. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal consolidated support behind the top contenders, with others like Treasurer Dave Young fading amid electability focus for the fall matchup against GOP Rep. Gabe Evans. Independents, at 44% of voters, loom large for general election viability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,867
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Manny Rutinel» з 72%, далі «Shannon Bird» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $20.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Manny Rutinel» з 72%. Наступний — «Shannon Bird» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.