Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and consistent general election margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic challengers alongside limited Republican opposition, but this early contest is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts. Shifts remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or substantial late-cycle national political realignment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-46 House Election Winner
CA-46 House Election Winner
$11,259 Обс.
$11,259 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,259 Обс.
$11,259 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,449 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$8,811 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and consistent general election margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic challengers alongside limited Republican opposition, but this early contest is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts. Shifts remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or substantial late-cycle national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,259Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and consistent general election margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic challengers alongside limited Republican opposition, but this early contest is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts. Shifts remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or substantial late-cycle national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,259Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and consistent general election margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. The June 2 primary features multiple Democratic challengers alongside limited Republican opposition, but this early contest is unlikely to alter the general election trajectory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly partisan districts. Shifts remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or substantial late-cycle national political realignment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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