Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's commanding position in California's solidly Democratic 16th Congressional District, encompassing Silicon Valley strongholds like San Jose, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89% to win the November general election. The district's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 72% there in 2024—combined with Liccardo's $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March far outpacing challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule (both Republicans) and Jotham Stein (no party preference), signals low risk of a Republican advance from the June 2 top-two primary. Ballots began mailing May 4 with no polls showing contention, aligning market odds with historical Democratic dominance in general elections, though a primary upset could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$72,924 Обс.
$72,924 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
7%
$72,924 Обс.
$72,924 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$50,067 Обс.
89%
Republican Party
$22,857 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's commanding position in California's solidly Democratic 16th Congressional District, encompassing Silicon Valley strongholds like San Jose, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89% to win the November general election. The district's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 72% there in 2024—combined with Liccardo's $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March far outpacing challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule (both Republicans) and Jotham Stein (no party preference), signals low risk of a Republican advance from the June 2 top-two primary. Ballots began mailing May 4 with no polls showing contention, aligning market odds with historical Democratic dominance in general elections, though a primary upset could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,924Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's commanding position in California's solidly Democratic 16th Congressional District, encompassing Silicon Valley strongholds like San Jose, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89% to win the November general election. The district's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 72% there in 2024—combined with Liccardo's $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March far outpacing challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule (both Republicans) and Jotham Stein (no party preference), signals low risk of a Republican advance from the June 2 top-two primary. Ballots began mailing May 4 with no polls showing contention, aligning market odds with historical Democratic dominance in general elections, though a primary upset could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$72,924Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo's commanding position in California's solidly Democratic 16th Congressional District, encompassing Silicon Valley strongholds like San Jose, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89% to win the November general election. The district's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 72% there in 2024—combined with Liccardo's $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March far outpacing challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule (both Republicans) and Jotham Stein (no party preference), signals low risk of a Republican advance from the June 2 top-two primary. Ballots began mailing May 4 with no polls showing contention, aligning market odds with historical Democratic dominance in general elections, though a primary upset could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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