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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins
Політика·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins
Політика·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 33%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$22,525 Обс.

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 33%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$22,525 Обс.

icon for Lula

Lula

$5,762 Обс.

68%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$10,637 Обс.

33%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$542 Обс.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$575 Обс.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$342 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,256 Обс.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$406 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$438 Обс.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$601 Обс.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$448 Обс.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$558 Обс.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$432 Обс.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$527 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-specific polls position incumbent President Lula (PT) as the frontrunner for first place in Tocantins in the October 2026 first round. A late-August Quaest survey showed Lula at 37% against Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32%, with Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 7% and all other candidates in single digits or lower. Real Time Big Data found a statistical tie at 36% each for Lula and Flávio. Tocantins voters narrowly backed Lula over Jair Bolsonaro in both rounds of 2022, and current polling reflects similar regional patterns favoring the PT candidate over the PL alternative amid ongoing national campaign activity, including the start of free electoral broadcasts. Trader consensus reflects these localized results while assigning lower implied probabilities to fragmented opposition options.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$22,525
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-specific polls position incumbent President Lula (PT) as the frontrunner for first place in Tocantins in the October 2026 first round. A late-August Quaest survey showed Lula at 37% against Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32%, with Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 7% and all other candidates in single digits or lower. Real Time Big Data found a statistical tie at 36% each for Lula and Flávio. Tocantins voters narrowly backed Lula over Jair Bolsonaro in both rounds of 2022, and current polling reflects similar regional patterns favoring the PT candidate over the PL alternative amid ongoing national campaign activity, including the start of free electoral broadcasts. Trader consensus reflects these localized results while assigning lower implied probabilities to fragmented opposition options.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$22,525
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

90%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

79%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?

97%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lula» з 68%, далі «Flavio Bolsonaro» з 33%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins» згенерував $22.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins» — «Lula» з 68%. Наступний — «Flavio Bolsonaro» з 33%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.