**Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Santa Catarina polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote.** Multiple surveys from August 2026, including Quaest, show him at 45% against Lula at 20%, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each below 5%. Earlier June–July polling placed him in the 47–52% range with similar gaps. Santa Catarina’s voting patterns from the 2022 election, where Jair Bolsonaro secured over 62% in the first round, align with current trader consensus reflected in the 97.3% implied probability. Late shifts remain possible if another right-leaning contender consolidates support or turnout dynamics change, though recent data indicate limited movement among undecided voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula <1%
Zema <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
1%
Zema
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Samara
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula <1%
Zema <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,870 Обс.
97%
Lula
$325 Обс.
1%
Zema
$298 Обс.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$298 Обс.
1%
Hertz Dias
$289 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$289 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$299 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$289 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$289 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$289 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$389 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$299 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$399 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Santa Catarina polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote.** Multiple surveys from August 2026, including Quaest, show him at 45% against Lula at 20%, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each below 5%. Earlier June–July polling placed him in the 47–52% range with similar gaps. Santa Catarina’s voting patterns from the 2022 election, where Jair Bolsonaro secured over 62% in the first round, align with current trader consensus reflected in the 97.3% implied probability. Late shifts remain possible if another right-leaning contender consolidates support or turnout dynamics change, though recent data indicate limited movement among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,620Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Santa Catarina polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote.** Multiple surveys from August 2026, including Quaest, show him at 45% against Lula at 20%, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each below 5%. Earlier June–July polling placed him in the 47–52% range with similar gaps. Santa Catarina’s voting patterns from the 2022 election, where Jair Bolsonaro secured over 62% in the first round, align with current trader consensus reflected in the 97.3% implied probability. Late shifts remain possible if another right-leaning contender consolidates support or turnout dynamics change, though recent data indicate limited movement among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$5,620Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Santa Catarina polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote.** Multiple surveys from August 2026, including Quaest, show him at 45% against Lula at 20%, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each below 5%. Earlier June–July polling placed him in the 47–52% range with similar gaps. Santa Catarina’s voting patterns from the 2022 election, where Jair Bolsonaro secured over 62% in the first round, align with current trader consensus reflected in the 97.3% implied probability. Late shifts remain possible if another right-leaning contender consolidates support or turnout dynamics change, though recent data indicate limited movement among undecided voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання