Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round due to the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and his status as the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward Bolsonarismo. A late August Quaest poll showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other contenders in low single digits, reflecting strong regional backing for the family legacy and aligned policy priorities on security and governance. Traders price this outcome near certainty because Roraima delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro's strongest margins in prior cycles, and no rival has mounted a credible local challenge ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in turnout, an unexpected surge by another right-leaning candidate, or unresolved legal questions around candidacies remain the primary variables that could alter the result before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula 2.2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.3%
Lula 2.2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,571 Обс.
97%
Lula
$657 Обс.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Обс.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$560 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$417 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$418 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round due to the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and his status as the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward Bolsonarismo. A late August Quaest poll showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other contenders in low single digits, reflecting strong regional backing for the family legacy and aligned policy priorities on security and governance. Traders price this outcome near certainty because Roraima delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro's strongest margins in prior cycles, and no rival has mounted a credible local challenge ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in turnout, an unexpected surge by another right-leaning candidate, or unresolved legal questions around candidacies remain the primary variables that could alter the result before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,323Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round due to the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and his status as the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward Bolsonarismo. A late August Quaest poll showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other contenders in low single digits, reflecting strong regional backing for the family legacy and aligned policy priorities on security and governance. Traders price this outcome near certainty because Roraima delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro's strongest margins in prior cycles, and no rival has mounted a credible local challenge ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in turnout, an unexpected surge by another right-leaning candidate, or unresolved legal questions around candidacies remain the primary variables that could alter the result before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$9,323Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round due to the state's consistent conservative electoral patterns and his status as the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward Bolsonarismo. A late August Quaest poll showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other contenders in low single digits, reflecting strong regional backing for the family legacy and aligned policy priorities on security and governance. Traders price this outcome near certainty because Roraima delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro's strongest margins in prior cycles, and no rival has mounted a credible local challenge ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in turnout, an unexpected surge by another right-leaning candidate, or unresolved legal questions around candidacies remain the primary variables that could alter the result before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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