Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and recent local polling. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show him ahead by 20–33 points over Lula, with fragmented single-digit support for names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Rondônia delivered roughly 70 percent to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and current data indicate sustained preference for the PL candidate amid low approval for the incumbent administration. Other contenders remain far behind in both surveys and market shares. A realistic shift would require substantial late movement among undecided voters or an unforeseen event that narrows the gap before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 97.6%
Renan Santos <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$15,668 Обс.
$15,668 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Renan Santos
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Zema
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.6%
Renan Santos <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$15,668 Обс.
$15,668 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,421 Обс.
98%
Renan Santos
$465 Обс.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$465 Обс.
1%
Clariana Barao
$455 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$505 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$555 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$514 Обс.
<1%
Lula
$631 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$525 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$555 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$525 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$525 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$525 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and recent local polling. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show him ahead by 20–33 points over Lula, with fragmented single-digit support for names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Rondônia delivered roughly 70 percent to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and current data indicate sustained preference for the PL candidate amid low approval for the incumbent administration. Other contenders remain far behind in both surveys and market shares. A realistic shift would require substantial late movement among undecided voters or an unforeseen event that narrows the gap before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,668Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and recent local polling. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show him ahead by 20–33 points over Lula, with fragmented single-digit support for names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Rondônia delivered roughly 70 percent to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and current data indicate sustained preference for the PL candidate amid low approval for the incumbent administration. Other contenders remain far behind in both surveys and market shares. A realistic shift would require substantial late movement among undecided voters or an unforeseen event that narrows the gap before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$15,668Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and recent local polling. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest show him ahead by 20–33 points over Lula, with fragmented single-digit support for names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Rondônia delivered roughly 70 percent to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and current data indicate sustained preference for the PL candidate amid low approval for the incumbent administration. Other contenders remain far behind in both surveys and market shares. A realistic shift would require substantial late movement among undecided voters or an unforeseen event that narrows the gap before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання