Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Політика·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Політика·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 97.3%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Lula 97.3%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Lula

Lula

$3,225 Обс.

97%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$512 Обс.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$512 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Exatus showing him at 47-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 27-29% and all other candidates in single digits. This positioning reflects the state's historical preference for PT candidates in presidential contests, reinforced by Lula's incumbency and regional alignments on social programs. Opposition support remains fragmented across right-leaning and minor-party names, limiting any single challenger's ability to overtake the plurality. Trader pricing at 97% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these persistent gaps in Northeast state data, though late developments such as turnout shifts among undecided voters or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of election day could narrow the margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$9,370
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Exatus showing him at 47-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 27-29% and all other candidates in single digits. This positioning reflects the state's historical preference for PT candidates in presidential contests, reinforced by Lula's incumbency and regional alignments on social programs. Opposition support remains fragmented across right-leaning and minor-party names, limiting any single challenger's ability to overtake the plurality. Trader pricing at 97% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these persistent gaps in Northeast state data, though late developments such as turnout shifts among undecided voters or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of election day could narrow the margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$9,370
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

89%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

89%
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?

96%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lula» з 97%, далі «Rui Costa Pimenta» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte» — «Lula» з 97%. Наступний — «Rui Costa Pimenta» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.