Flávio Bolsonaro holds a strong position in Rio de Janeiro polling for first place in the October 4 first round, with recent local surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing him ahead of Lula by margins of 2 to 4 points. His status as a Rio senator and son of the former president aligns with established right-wing support in the state, where he has maintained leads in multiple 2026 readings. National developments, including a Supreme Court crisis and shifting runoff simulations, have contributed to broader momentum for the challenger that traders appear to factor into Rio-specific pricing. Lula trails in state-level data despite his national profile as incumbent, while other candidates register minimal support in local surveys. The first-round structure and Rio's voting patterns provide structural context for the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 85%
Lula 12%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$25,026 Обс.
$25,026 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
85%
Lula
12%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 85%
Lula 12%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$25,026 Обс.
$25,026 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$11,009 Обс.
85%
Lula
$7,780 Обс.
12%
Clariana Barao
$375 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$373 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,393 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$747 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$639 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$433 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$373 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a strong position in Rio de Janeiro polling for first place in the October 4 first round, with recent local surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing him ahead of Lula by margins of 2 to 4 points. His status as a Rio senator and son of the former president aligns with established right-wing support in the state, where he has maintained leads in multiple 2026 readings. National developments, including a Supreme Court crisis and shifting runoff simulations, have contributed to broader momentum for the challenger that traders appear to factor into Rio-specific pricing. Lula trails in state-level data despite his national profile as incumbent, while other candidates register minimal support in local surveys. The first-round structure and Rio's voting patterns provide structural context for the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,026Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a strong position in Rio de Janeiro polling for first place in the October 4 first round, with recent local surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing him ahead of Lula by margins of 2 to 4 points. His status as a Rio senator and son of the former president aligns with established right-wing support in the state, where he has maintained leads in multiple 2026 readings. National developments, including a Supreme Court crisis and shifting runoff simulations, have contributed to broader momentum for the challenger that traders appear to factor into Rio-specific pricing. Lula trails in state-level data despite his national profile as incumbent, while other candidates register minimal support in local surveys. The first-round structure and Rio's voting patterns provide structural context for the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$25,026Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a strong position in Rio de Janeiro polling for first place in the October 4 first round, with recent local surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing him ahead of Lula by margins of 2 to 4 points. His status as a Rio senator and son of the former president aligns with established right-wing support in the state, where he has maintained leads in multiple 2026 readings. National developments, including a Supreme Court crisis and shifting runoff simulations, have contributed to broader momentum for the challenger that traders appear to factor into Rio-specific pricing. Lula trails in state-level data despite his national profile as incumbent, while other candidates register minimal support in local surveys. The first-round structure and Rio's voting patterns provide structural context for the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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