Lula holds a commanding lead in Piauí for first place in the October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent local polling showing the incumbent 40 points or more ahead of nearest rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. The northeastern state has long delivered strong support for the PT, including Lula’s roughly 74-76 percent share of valid votes in 2022. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys confirm margins near 60 percent for Lula against single-digit or low-teens figures for other listed candidates. Lula’s September 9 campaign stop in Teresina, featuring visits to VLT modernization works and a state school alongside PT governor Rafael Fonteles, underscored federal infrastructure investments that reinforce the state’s alignment with the incumbent. While national polls show a tighter contest, Piauí’s structural and historical patterns sustain the wide local advantage reflected in trader pricing. Late shifts from major scandals or turnout surprises remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 96.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$12,614 Обс.
$12,614 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Clariana Barao
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
1%
Samara
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 96.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$12,614 Обс.
$12,614 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$7,587 Обс.
97%
Clariana Barao
$454 Обс.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$480 Обс.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$393 Обс.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$403 Обс.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$388 Обс.
1%
Zema
$495 Обс.
1%
Samara
$306 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$372 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$470 Обс.
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$414 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$386 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$467 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in Piauí for first place in the October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent local polling showing the incumbent 40 points or more ahead of nearest rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. The northeastern state has long delivered strong support for the PT, including Lula’s roughly 74-76 percent share of valid votes in 2022. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys confirm margins near 60 percent for Lula against single-digit or low-teens figures for other listed candidates. Lula’s September 9 campaign stop in Teresina, featuring visits to VLT modernization works and a state school alongside PT governor Rafael Fonteles, underscored federal infrastructure investments that reinforce the state’s alignment with the incumbent. While national polls show a tighter contest, Piauí’s structural and historical patterns sustain the wide local advantage reflected in trader pricing. Late shifts from major scandals or turnout surprises remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,614Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in Piauí for first place in the October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent local polling showing the incumbent 40 points or more ahead of nearest rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. The northeastern state has long delivered strong support for the PT, including Lula’s roughly 74-76 percent share of valid votes in 2022. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys confirm margins near 60 percent for Lula against single-digit or low-teens figures for other listed candidates. Lula’s September 9 campaign stop in Teresina, featuring visits to VLT modernization works and a state school alongside PT governor Rafael Fonteles, underscored federal infrastructure investments that reinforce the state’s alignment with the incumbent. While national polls show a tighter contest, Piauí’s structural and historical patterns sustain the wide local advantage reflected in trader pricing. Late shifts from major scandals or turnout surprises remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$12,614Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding lead in Piauí for first place in the October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent local polling showing the incumbent 40 points or more ahead of nearest rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. The northeastern state has long delivered strong support for the PT, including Lula’s roughly 74-76 percent share of valid votes in 2022. Recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys confirm margins near 60 percent for Lula against single-digit or low-teens figures for other listed candidates. Lula’s September 9 campaign stop in Teresina, featuring visits to VLT modernization works and a state school alongside PT governor Rafael Fonteles, underscored federal infrastructure investments that reinforce the state’s alignment with the incumbent. While national polls show a tighter contest, Piauí’s structural and historical patterns sustain the wide local advantage reflected in trader pricing. Late shifts from major scandals or turnout surprises remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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