Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Datafolha polling from early September showing him at 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24% and single-digit support for all others. This positioning reflects the state's status as a Northeast stronghold for the PT, consistent government approval metrics near 60%, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements that have shifted voter intentions since the formal campaign period began. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 96.2%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,102 Обс.
$10,102 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 96.2%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,102 Обс.
$10,102 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,097 Обс.
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$397 Обс.
2%
Zema
$296 Обс.
1%
Clariana Barao
$319 Обс.
1%
Renan Santos
$319 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$334 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$334 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$323 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$356 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$411 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$334 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$291 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$290 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Datafolha polling from early September showing him at 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24% and single-digit support for all others. This positioning reflects the state's status as a Northeast stronghold for the PT, consistent government approval metrics near 60%, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements that have shifted voter intentions since the formal campaign period began. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,102Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Datafolha polling from early September showing him at 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24% and single-digit support for all others. This positioning reflects the state's status as a Northeast stronghold for the PT, consistent government approval metrics near 60%, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements that have shifted voter intentions since the formal campaign period began. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$10,102Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Datafolha polling from early September showing him at 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 24% and single-digit support for all others. This positioning reflects the state's status as a Northeast stronghold for the PT, consistent government approval metrics near 60%, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements that have shifted voter intentions since the formal campaign period began. Trader consensus at 96.1% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання