Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Minas Gerais during the October 2026 first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 31-45% in state-specific surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September, outpacing main rival Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 4-9 points. Bolsonaro trails in the low-to-mid 30s amid polarized voter sentiment and ongoing legal scrutiny tied to campaign financing matters, while other declared contenders such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury register in the single digits or lower. Minas Gerais, the country's second-largest electorate, has historically influenced national outcomes, and recent statewide polling trends align with Lula's broader national edge in first-round scenarios. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with limited movement from late-August surveys despite the tightening national contest and scheduled campaign events through early October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 61%
Flavio Bolsonaro 38.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$27,242 Обс.
$27,242 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
61%
Flavio Bolsonaro
39%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 61%
Flavio Bolsonaro 38.6%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$27,242 Обс.
$27,242 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$11,323 Обс.
61%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$7,381 Обс.
39%
Clariana Barao
$844 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$525 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$485 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$484 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,452 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$473 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$491 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$649 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$576 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$1,951 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Minas Gerais during the October 2026 first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 31-45% in state-specific surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September, outpacing main rival Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 4-9 points. Bolsonaro trails in the low-to-mid 30s amid polarized voter sentiment and ongoing legal scrutiny tied to campaign financing matters, while other declared contenders such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury register in the single digits or lower. Minas Gerais, the country's second-largest electorate, has historically influenced national outcomes, and recent statewide polling trends align with Lula's broader national edge in first-round scenarios. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with limited movement from late-August surveys despite the tightening national contest and scheduled campaign events through early October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,242Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Minas Gerais during the October 2026 first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 31-45% in state-specific surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September, outpacing main rival Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 4-9 points. Bolsonaro trails in the low-to-mid 30s amid polarized voter sentiment and ongoing legal scrutiny tied to campaign financing matters, while other declared contenders such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury register in the single digits or lower. Minas Gerais, the country's second-largest electorate, has historically influenced national outcomes, and recent statewide polling trends align with Lula's broader national edge in first-round scenarios. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with limited movement from late-August surveys despite the tightening national contest and scheduled campaign events through early October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$27,242Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Minas Gerais during the October 2026 first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 31-45% in state-specific surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September, outpacing main rival Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 4-9 points. Bolsonaro trails in the low-to-mid 30s amid polarized voter sentiment and ongoing legal scrutiny tied to campaign financing matters, while other declared contenders such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury register in the single digits or lower. Minas Gerais, the country's second-largest electorate, has historically influenced national outcomes, and recent statewide polling trends align with Lula's broader national edge in first-round scenarios. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with limited movement from late-August surveys despite the tightening national contest and scheduled campaign events through early October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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