Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$10,034 Обс.
$10,034 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
2%
Zema
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
$10,034 Обс.
$10,034 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,547 Обс.
96%
Lula
$1,490 Обс.
2%
Zema
$613 Обс.
1%
Renan Santos
$365 Обс.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$475 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$391 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$449 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$566 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$395 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$444 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$408 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$401 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,034Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$10,034Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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