Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, with state-level surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data showing him at 58–62% against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals including Flávio Bolsonaro. This positioning stems from entrenched PT support across the Northeast, where federal approval ratings have remained above 60% and regional policy alignments favor the incumbent. Voter intentions appear largely settled, with 84% describing their choice as firm in recent fieldwork. National polling shows a closer contest overall, yet Maranhão’s structural lean limits upside for challengers. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected alliances would need substantial scale to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 97.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$12,970 Обс.
$12,970 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Samara
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Lula 97.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$12,970 Обс.
$12,970 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,513 Обс.
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
$520 Обс.
1%
Samara
$548 Обс.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$697 Обс.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$565 Обс.
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$687 Обс.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$600 Обс.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$702 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$670 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$635 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$711 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$567 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$556 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, with state-level surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data showing him at 58–62% against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals including Flávio Bolsonaro. This positioning stems from entrenched PT support across the Northeast, where federal approval ratings have remained above 60% and regional policy alignments favor the incumbent. Voter intentions appear largely settled, with 84% describing their choice as firm in recent fieldwork. National polling shows a closer contest overall, yet Maranhão’s structural lean limits upside for challengers. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected alliances would need substantial scale to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,970Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, with state-level surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data showing him at 58–62% against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals including Flávio Bolsonaro. This positioning stems from entrenched PT support across the Northeast, where federal approval ratings have remained above 60% and regional policy alignments favor the incumbent. Voter intentions appear largely settled, with 84% describing their choice as firm in recent fieldwork. National polling shows a closer contest overall, yet Maranhão’s structural lean limits upside for challengers. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected alliances would need substantial scale to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$12,970Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Maranhão’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, with state-level surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data showing him at 58–62% against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals including Flávio Bolsonaro. This positioning stems from entrenched PT support across the Northeast, where federal approval ratings have remained above 60% and regional policy alignments favor the incumbent. Voter intentions appear largely settled, with 84% describing their choice as firm in recent fieldwork. National polling shows a closer contest overall, yet Maranhão’s structural lean limits upside for challengers. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected alliances would need substantial scale to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the 97.7% pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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