Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Espírito Santo for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent support for the Liberal Party candidate and the broader Bolsonaro movement. Earlier 2026 state-level surveys showed him ahead of Lula in initial-round voting intentions, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's victories there in 2018 and 2022, while Lula's approval remains underwater among capixaba voters. A late national tightening driven by institutional tensions at the Supreme Court has not altered the regional pattern, where undecided voters and smaller-party support have yet to shift the balance. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include further legal developments directly implicating the senator or stronger consolidation among centrist or conservative alternatives ahead of the October ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 94%
Lula 4.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 2.6%
Hertz Dias <1%
$20,344 Обс.
$20,344 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
94%
Lula
5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
3%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 94%
Lula 4.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 2.6%
Hertz Dias <1%
$20,344 Обс.
$20,344 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,389 Обс.
94%
Lula
$844 Обс.
5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,220 Обс.
3%
Hertz Dias
$1,119 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$954 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$952 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$625 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$602 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$989 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$696 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$993 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$974 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$988 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Espírito Santo for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent support for the Liberal Party candidate and the broader Bolsonaro movement. Earlier 2026 state-level surveys showed him ahead of Lula in initial-round voting intentions, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's victories there in 2018 and 2022, while Lula's approval remains underwater among capixaba voters. A late national tightening driven by institutional tensions at the Supreme Court has not altered the regional pattern, where undecided voters and smaller-party support have yet to shift the balance. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include further legal developments directly implicating the senator or stronger consolidation among centrist or conservative alternatives ahead of the October ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,344Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Espírito Santo for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent support for the Liberal Party candidate and the broader Bolsonaro movement. Earlier 2026 state-level surveys showed him ahead of Lula in initial-round voting intentions, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's victories there in 2018 and 2022, while Lula's approval remains underwater among capixaba voters. A late national tightening driven by institutional tensions at the Supreme Court has not altered the regional pattern, where undecided voters and smaller-party support have yet to shift the balance. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include further legal developments directly implicating the senator or stronger consolidation among centrist or conservative alternatives ahead of the October ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$20,344Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Espírito Santo for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent support for the Liberal Party candidate and the broader Bolsonaro movement. Earlier 2026 state-level surveys showed him ahead of Lula in initial-round voting intentions, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's victories there in 2018 and 2022, while Lula's approval remains underwater among capixaba voters. A late national tightening driven by institutional tensions at the Supreme Court has not altered the regional pattern, where undecided voters and smaller-party support have yet to shift the balance. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include further legal developments directly implicating the senator or stronger consolidation among centrist or conservative alternatives ahead of the October ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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