SDA secured the largest share of votes and seats in preliminary results for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s House of Representatives following the October 4 general elections, with roughly 20% nationally and over 31% in the Federation entity. This performance, driven by consolidated Bosniak support in key electoral units and the party’s organizational strength, has produced the current trader consensus. Entity-level divisions remain pronounced, with SNSD dominant in Republika Srpska. Final seat allocation awaits full Central Election Commission certification and any adjustments for compensatory mandates. Late shifts in validated tallies or disputes over specific lists could still alter the exact margin, though the scale of SDA’s lead makes such reversals unlikely.