Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a clear market edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his recovered approval ratings and structural advantages as sitting governor. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows the pair in a statistical tie near 38-39 percent in first-round scenarios, with some surveys indicating a slight Neto lead in runoff tests. The race remains a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by shifts in national alliances after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. A first televised debate occurred on August 9, underscoring policy contrasts on public security, infrastructure, and education, where Rodrigues receives stronger marks. Other candidates register negligible support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJerônimo Rodrigues 57%
ACM Neto 41%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$99,981 Обс.
$99,981 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
57%
ACM Neto
41%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 57%
ACM Neto 41%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$99,981 Обс.
$99,981 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$32,670 Обс.
57%
ACM Neto
$32,873 Обс.
41%
Kleber Rosa
$10,037 Обс.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$8,143 Обс.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Обс.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Обс.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a clear market edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his recovered approval ratings and structural advantages as sitting governor. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows the pair in a statistical tie near 38-39 percent in first-round scenarios, with some surveys indicating a slight Neto lead in runoff tests. The race remains a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by shifts in national alliances after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. A first televised debate occurred on August 9, underscoring policy contrasts on public security, infrastructure, and education, where Rodrigues receives stronger marks. Other candidates register negligible support.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$99,981Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a clear market edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his recovered approval ratings and structural advantages as sitting governor. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows the pair in a statistical tie near 38-39 percent in first-round scenarios, with some surveys indicating a slight Neto lead in runoff tests. The race remains a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by shifts in national alliances after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. A first televised debate occurred on August 9, underscoring policy contrasts on public security, infrastructure, and education, where Rodrigues receives stronger marks. Other candidates register negligible support.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$99,981Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a clear market edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his recovered approval ratings and structural advantages as sitting governor. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows the pair in a statistical tie near 38-39 percent in first-round scenarios, with some surveys indicating a slight Neto lead in runoff tests. The race remains a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by shifts in national alliances after União's 2025 break with the Lula administration. A first televised debate occurred on August 9, underscoring policy contrasts on public security, infrastructure, and education, where Rodrigues receives stronger marks. Other candidates register negligible support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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