The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and consistent performance in recent elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva, winning by a wide margin against the same Republican opponent expected in 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical results. Primaries are scheduled for July 2026 and the general election for November 3, 2026. A significant shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this border district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,090 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$4,355 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and consistent performance in recent elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva, winning by a wide margin against the same Republican opponent expected in 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical results. Primaries are scheduled for July 2026 and the general election for November 3, 2026. A significant shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this border district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,445Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and consistent performance in recent elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva, winning by a wide margin against the same Republican opponent expected in 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical results. Primaries are scheduled for July 2026 and the general election for November 3, 2026. A significant shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this border district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,445Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its majority-Hispanic demographics and consistent performance in recent elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva, winning by a wide margin against the same Republican opponent expected in 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and historical results. Primaries are scheduled for July 2026 and the general election for November 3, 2026. A significant shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this border district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання