**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Argentina official USD exchange rate closing 2026 above 1,600 ARS per USD (64.5% implied probability), driven by the central bank's inflation-adjusted crawling band regime and persistent monthly price pressures near 2.9%.** As of mid-August 2026 the spot rate stands near 1,498 ARS/USD after rising from roughly 1,487 in July, reflecting ongoing depreciation under the post-January 2026 framework that widens bands in line with lagged inflation data. Key factors include the need to rebuild foreign-exchange reserves ahead of substantial external debt service, stalled disinflation despite sharp earlier progress under President Milei, and the policy priority of avoiding real appreciation that could undermine competitiveness and reserve accumulation. With only a few months remaining, continued 2–3% monthly adjustments point toward levels comfortably above 1,600 absent a sharp policy shift or external financing windfall. Lower bins (1,450–1,550) capture residual hopes for faster stabilization but command far less market-implied weight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1600.00+ 59%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1550.00–1599.99 10.8%
1450.00–1499.99 10.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
<1%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
10%
1500.00–1549.99
13%
1550.00–1599.99
11%
1600.00+
65%
1600.00+ 59%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1550.00–1599.99 10.8%
1450.00–1499.99 10.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
$526 Обс.
<1%
1250.00–1299.99
$779 Обс.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$672 Обс.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$712 Обс.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,239 Обс.
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,264 Обс.
10%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,171 Обс.
13%
1550.00–1599.99
$688 Обс.
11%
1600.00+
$1,902 Обс.
65%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Argentina official USD exchange rate closing 2026 above 1,600 ARS per USD (64.5% implied probability), driven by the central bank's inflation-adjusted crawling band regime and persistent monthly price pressures near 2.9%.**
As of mid-August 2026 the spot rate stands near 1,498 ARS/USD after rising from roughly 1,487 in July, reflecting ongoing depreciation under the post-January 2026 framework that widens bands in line with lagged inflation data. Key factors include the need to rebuild foreign-exchange reserves ahead of substantial external debt service, stalled disinflation despite sharp earlier progress under President Milei, and the policy priority of avoiding real appreciation that could undermine competitiveness and reserve accumulation. With only a few months remaining, continued 2–3% monthly adjustments point toward levels comfortably above 1,600 absent a sharp policy shift or external financing windfall. Lower bins (1,450–1,550) capture residual hopes for faster stabilization but command far less market-implied weight.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,953Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Argentina official USD exchange rate closing 2026 above 1,600 ARS per USD (64.5% implied probability), driven by the central bank's inflation-adjusted crawling band regime and persistent monthly price pressures near 2.9%.**
As of mid-August 2026 the spot rate stands near 1,498 ARS/USD after rising from roughly 1,487 in July, reflecting ongoing depreciation under the post-January 2026 framework that widens bands in line with lagged inflation data. Key factors include the need to rebuild foreign-exchange reserves ahead of substantial external debt service, stalled disinflation despite sharp earlier progress under President Milei, and the policy priority of avoiding real appreciation that could undermine competitiveness and reserve accumulation. With only a few months remaining, continued 2–3% monthly adjustments point toward levels comfortably above 1,600 absent a sharp policy shift or external financing windfall. Lower bins (1,450–1,550) capture residual hopes for faster stabilization but command far less market-implied weight.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$8,953Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Argentina official USD exchange rate closing 2026 above 1,600 ARS per USD (64.5% implied probability), driven by the central bank's inflation-adjusted crawling band regime and persistent monthly price pressures near 2.9%.** As of mid-August 2026 the spot rate stands near 1,498 ARS/USD after rising from roughly 1,487 in July, reflecting ongoing depreciation under the post-January 2026 framework that widens bands in line with lagged inflation data. Key factors include the need to rebuild foreign-exchange reserves ahead of substantial external debt service, stalled disinflation despite sharp earlier progress under President Milei, and the policy priority of avoiding real appreciation that could undermine competitiveness and reserve accumulation. With only a few months remaining, continued 2–3% monthly adjustments point toward levels comfortably above 1,600 absent a sharp policy shift or external financing windfall. Lower bins (1,450–1,550) capture residual hopes for faster stabilization but command far less market-implied weight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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