Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. Democrat Chris Jones advanced from his primary but enters the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and a history of Republican victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The seat has remained in GOP hands since 2013 following redistricting that reduced Democratic-leaning areas around Little Rock. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,280 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$5,693 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. Democrat Chris Jones advanced from his primary but enters the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and a history of Republican victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The seat has remained in GOP hands since 2013 following redistricting that reduced Democratic-leaning areas around Little Rock. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,973Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. Democrat Chris Jones advanced from his primary but enters the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and a history of Republican victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The seat has remained in GOP hands since 2013 following redistricting that reduced Democratic-leaning areas around Little Rock. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,973Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. Democrat Chris Jones advanced from his primary but enters the November general election in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and a history of Republican victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The seat has remained in GOP hands since 2013 following redistricting that reduced Democratic-leaning areas around Little Rock. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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