Apple’s market cap, currently near $4.67 trillion, reflects trader focus on the company’s June 2026 WWDC announcements of next-generation Apple Intelligence, a rebuilt Siri AI powered by new Apple Foundation Models and Google Gemini integration, and deeper on-device and Private Cloud Compute capabilities. These updates aim to strengthen ecosystem lock-in and services revenue, supporting the clustered probabilities around $4.0–5.5 trillion by year-end. Offsetting factors include the August leadership transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, ongoing China exposure, regulatory hurdles in the EU and elsewhere, and typical post-holiday seasonality. With outcomes closely matched, sentiment hinges on iPhone 17 momentum, services growth, and whether AI features translate into measurable adoption before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$4.00-$4.50T 33%
$4.50-$5.00T 25%
$5.00-$5.50T 22%
$3.50-$4.00T 9%
<$3.50T
5%
$3.50-$4.00T
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
33%
$4.50-$5.00T
25%
$5.00-$5.50T
22%
$5.50-$6.00T
7%
$6.00T+
5%
$4.00-$4.50T 33%
$4.50-$5.00T 25%
$5.00-$5.50T 22%
$3.50-$4.00T 9%
<$3.50T
5%
$3.50-$4.00T
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
33%
$4.50-$5.00T
25%
$5.00-$5.50T
22%
$5.50-$6.00T
7%
$6.00T+
5%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Apple’s market cap, currently near $4.67 trillion, reflects trader focus on the company’s June 2026 WWDC announcements of next-generation Apple Intelligence, a rebuilt Siri AI powered by new Apple Foundation Models and Google Gemini integration, and deeper on-device and Private Cloud Compute capabilities. These updates aim to strengthen ecosystem lock-in and services revenue, supporting the clustered probabilities around $4.0–5.5 trillion by year-end. Offsetting factors include the August leadership transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, ongoing China exposure, regulatory hurdles in the EU and elsewhere, and typical post-holiday seasonality. With outcomes closely matched, sentiment hinges on iPhone 17 momentum, services growth, and whether AI features translate into measurable adoption before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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