Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Apple Vision Pro 2 releasing before 2027, driven by the original mixed-reality headset's disappointing sales, which prompted drastic production cuts and a 95% marketing slash reported in early January 2026. Apple has shifted resources from a Vision Pro successor to lighter "Vision Air" and smart glasses projects, with leading analyst Ming-Chi Kuo confirming no new head-mounted displays until 2027 amid absent supply chain signals for an M5-powered refresh. While WWDC in June could surprise with a late-2026 unveil, historical product delays and focus on spatial computing accessibility via cheaper form factors underpin the strong skepticism, though accelerated manufacturing or regulatory approvals could still pivot odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Apple Vision Pro 2 releasing before 2027, driven by the original mixed-reality headset's disappointing sales, which prompted drastic production cuts and a 95% marketing slash reported in early January 2026. Apple has shifted resources from a Vision Pro successor to lighter "Vision Air" and smart glasses projects, with leading analyst Ming-Chi Kuo confirming no new head-mounted displays until 2027 amid absent supply chain signals for an M5-powered refresh. While WWDC in June could surprise with a late-2026 unveil, historical product delays and focus on spatial computing accessibility via cheaper form factors underpin the strong skepticism, though accelerated manufacturing or regulatory approvals could still pivot odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,315Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Apple Vision Pro 2 releasing before 2027, driven by the original mixed-reality headset's disappointing sales, which prompted drastic production cuts and a 95% marketing slash reported in early January 2026. Apple has shifted resources from a Vision Pro successor to lighter "Vision Air" and smart glasses projects, with leading analyst Ming-Chi Kuo confirming no new head-mounted displays until 2027 amid absent supply chain signals for an M5-powered refresh. While WWDC in June could surprise with a late-2026 unveil, historical product delays and focus on spatial computing accessibility via cheaper form factors underpin the strong skepticism, though accelerated manufacturing or regulatory approvals could still pivot odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,315Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Apple Vision Pro 2 releasing before 2027, driven by the original mixed-reality headset's disappointing sales, which prompted drastic production cuts and a 95% marketing slash reported in early January 2026. Apple has shifted resources from a Vision Pro successor to lighter "Vision Air" and smart glasses projects, with leading analyst Ming-Chi Kuo confirming no new head-mounted displays until 2027 amid absent supply chain signals for an M5-powered refresh. While WWDC in June could surprise with a late-2026 unveil, historical product delays and focus on spatial computing accessibility via cheaper form factors underpin the strong skepticism, though accelerated manufacturing or regulatory approvals could still pivot odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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