Ivory Coast holds the strongest position in AFCON 2027 Group C qualifying after securing six points from two matches, including a 2-0 win over Ghana and a 2-0 victory against Somalia. The Elephants’ superior goal difference and squad depth under returning coach Hervé Renard underpin the 81.5% implied probability reflected in current pricing. Gambia sits level on points with two wins of its own but trails on goal difference, supporting its 14.1% consensus share. Ghana and Somalia remain winless after heavy losses, limiting their upside to single-digit probabilities. Remaining fixtures through March 2027 will test whether the top two can maintain separation in a group where only the leader advances directly.