Mara Rocha holds the strongest trader consensus for second place in the Acre Senate race due to her consistent polling momentum and the legal challenges facing stronger rivals. Pre-election surveys in September positioned her competitively behind Marcio Bittar, while ex-governor Gladson Cameli led early but saw his candidacy undermined by a unanimous TRE-AC ruling under the Ficha Limpa law, rendering his votes annulled sub judice. This shift boosted Rocha's position among the eight registered candidates, each voter selecting two names under the majoritarian system. Bittar's frontrunner status at roughly 25% left the second seat open, with Rocha ultimately securing it at about 18% on election night. The outcome aligns with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing, reflecting verified vote totals and procedural barriers that limited other contenders.