Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow range around $433,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433-435k bin leading at 19.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty just 11 days from resolution. March Redfin data pegged median sale prices at $436,705, up 1.2% year-over-year, buoyed by chronically low inventory despite elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% dampening demand and prompting 34% of sellers to cut list prices. NAR's March median existing-home price rose to $408,800, underscoring modest gains, but decelerating growth—0.5% YoY in February per Cotality—fuels debate on whether April's end-month snapshot holds steady or eases amid softening sales volume.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWhat will the median home value in the US be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?
433 - 435k 23%
431 - 433k 16%
435 - 437k 16%
429 - 431k 14%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<429k
11%
429 - 431k
14%
431 - 433k
17%
433 - 435k
21%
435 - 437k
15%
437 - 439k
12%
439 - 441k
8%
>441k
7%
433 - 435k 23%
431 - 433k 16%
435 - 437k 16%
429 - 431k 14%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<429k
$1,185 Hac.
11%
429 - 431k
$326 Hac.
14%
431 - 433k
$124 Hac.
17%
433 - 435k
$341 Hac.
21%
435 - 437k
$56 Hac.
15%
437 - 439k
$0 Hac.
12%
439 - 441k
$5 Hac.
8%
>441k
$43 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow range around $433,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433-435k bin leading at 19.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty just 11 days from resolution. March Redfin data pegged median sale prices at $436,705, up 1.2% year-over-year, buoyed by chronically low inventory despite elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% dampening demand and prompting 34% of sellers to cut list prices. NAR's March median existing-home price rose to $408,800, underscoring modest gains, but decelerating growth—0.5% YoY in February per Cotality—fuels debate on whether April's end-month snapshot holds steady or eases amid softening sales volume.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Hacim
$2,080Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow range around $433,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433-435k bin leading at 19.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty just 11 days from resolution. March Redfin data pegged median sale prices at $436,705, up 1.2% year-over-year, buoyed by chronically low inventory despite elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% dampening demand and prompting 34% of sellers to cut list prices. NAR's March median existing-home price rose to $408,800, underscoring modest gains, but decelerating growth—0.5% YoY in February per Cotality—fuels debate on whether April's end-month snapshot holds steady or eases amid softening sales volume.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Hacim
$2,080Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow range around $433,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433-435k bin leading at 19.5% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty just 11 days from resolution. March Redfin data pegged median sale prices at $436,705, up 1.2% year-over-year, buoyed by chronically low inventory despite elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% dampening demand and prompting 34% of sellers to cut list prices. NAR's March median existing-home price rose to $408,800, underscoring modest gains, but decelerating growth—0.5% YoY in February per Cotality—fuels debate on whether April's end-month snapshot holds steady or eases amid softening sales volume.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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