Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, bolstered by widespread immunity from vaccines and prior infections that limit severe SARS-CoV-2 outcomes. The recent emergence of BA.3.2, dubbed "Cicada,"—a highly mutated Omicron descendant spreading in over 30 U.S. states and 20+ countries since March 2026—has stayed classified as a variant under monitoring, not concern, due to no uptick in hospitalizations or virulence despite immune escape potential. Low case volumes, effective boosters, and vigilant genomic surveillance reinforce this stability, though a sudden severity surge could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$235,425 Hac.
$235,425 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$235,425 Hac.
$235,425 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, bolstered by widespread immunity from vaccines and prior infections that limit severe SARS-CoV-2 outcomes. The recent emergence of BA.3.2, dubbed "Cicada,"—a highly mutated Omicron descendant spreading in over 30 U.S. states and 20+ countries since March 2026—has stayed classified as a variant under monitoring, not concern, due to no uptick in hospitalizations or virulence despite immune escape potential. Low case volumes, effective boosters, and vigilant genomic surveillance reinforce this stability, though a sudden severity surge could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
Hacim
$235,425Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, bolstered by widespread immunity from vaccines and prior infections that limit severe SARS-CoV-2 outcomes. The recent emergence of BA.3.2, dubbed "Cicada,"—a highly mutated Omicron descendant spreading in over 30 U.S. states and 20+ countries since March 2026—has stayed classified as a variant under monitoring, not concern, due to no uptick in hospitalizations or virulence despite immune escape potential. Low case volumes, effective boosters, and vigilant genomic surveillance reinforce this stability, though a sudden severity surge could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Hacim
$235,425Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against a new WHO-designated COVID variant of concern before 2027, bolstered by widespread immunity from vaccines and prior infections that limit severe SARS-CoV-2 outcomes. The recent emergence of BA.3.2, dubbed "Cicada,"—a highly mutated Omicron descendant spreading in over 30 U.S. states and 20+ countries since March 2026—has stayed classified as a variant under monitoring, not concern, due to no uptick in hospitalizations or virulence despite immune escape potential. Low case volumes, effective boosters, and vigilant genomic surveillance reinforce this stability, though a sudden severity surge could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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