Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 19.5%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion (15.5%) and $80-90 billion (14.5%), reflecting recent reports of a targeted $75 billion gross proceeds at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $15-16 billion—driven by Starlink's accelerating subscriber growth past 10 million—and a February xAI merger boosting the combined entity to $1.25 trillion, up from a $800 billion December tender offer. Key uncertainties include justifying the valuation multiple amid low free float and volatile space sector dynamics, with public prospectus due late May ahead of a June 8 roadshow and June 15 pricing. Competitive dominance in launches and satellite broadband underpins optimism, though broader equity market appetite will determine final sizing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$135,765 Hac.
$135,765 Hac.
<40B
5%
40-50B
2%
50-60B
16%
60-70B
12%
70-80B
20%
80-90B
15%
90-100B
2%
100-110B
8%
110-120B
1%
120 milyar dolar+
3%
$135,765 Hac.
$135,765 Hac.
<40B
$9,568 Hac.
5%
40-50B
$5,310 Hac.
2%
50-60B
$33,062 Hac.
16%
60-70B
$14,113 Hac.
12%
70-80B
$24,399 Hac.
20%
80-90B
$15,462 Hac.
15%
90-100B
$10,330 Hac.
2%
100-110B
$7,478 Hac.
8%
110-120B
$8,548 Hac.
1%
120 milyar dolar+
$7,496 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 19.5%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion (15.5%) and $80-90 billion (14.5%), reflecting recent reports of a targeted $75 billion gross proceeds at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $15-16 billion—driven by Starlink's accelerating subscriber growth past 10 million—and a February xAI merger boosting the combined entity to $1.25 trillion, up from a $800 billion December tender offer. Key uncertainties include justifying the valuation multiple amid low free float and volatile space sector dynamics, with public prospectus due late May ahead of a June 8 roadshow and June 15 pricing. Competitive dominance in launches and satellite broadband underpins optimism, though broader equity market appetite will determine final sizing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Hacim
$135,765Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 19.5%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion (15.5%) and $80-90 billion (14.5%), reflecting recent reports of a targeted $75 billion gross proceeds at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $15-16 billion—driven by Starlink's accelerating subscriber growth past 10 million—and a February xAI merger boosting the combined entity to $1.25 trillion, up from a $800 billion December tender offer. Key uncertainties include justifying the valuation multiple amid low free float and volatile space sector dynamics, with public prospectus due late May ahead of a June 8 roadshow and June 15 pricing. Competitive dominance in launches and satellite broadband underpins optimism, though broader equity market appetite will determine final sizing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$135,765Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at 19.5%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion (15.5%) and $80-90 billion (14.5%), reflecting recent reports of a targeted $75 billion gross proceeds at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $15-16 billion—driven by Starlink's accelerating subscriber growth past 10 million—and a February xAI merger boosting the combined entity to $1.25 trillion, up from a $800 billion December tender offer. Key uncertainties include justifying the valuation multiple amid low free float and volatile space sector dynamics, with public prospectus due late May ahead of a June 8 roadshow and June 15 pricing. Competitive dominance in launches and satellite broadband underpins optimism, though broader equity market appetite will determine final sizing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular