The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.26% as of April 17, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures after March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024—driven by energy and food costs, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting. This rebound from February's 2.4% rate has tempered rate-cut expectations to just one in 2026, with yields resisting declines amid elevated Treasury supply and political rhetoric pressuring Fed Chair Powell. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could nudge yields lower toward economist forecasts of 4.0-4.1% by early 2027, though sticky inflation poses upside risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$213,149 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
%3,9
73%
%3,8
50%
%3,7
36%
%3,6
42%
%3,5
27%
%3,0
20%
%2,0
8%
%1,0
4%
$213,149 Hac.
%3,9
$40,064 Hac.
73%
%3,8
$39,095 Hac.
50%
%3,7
$26,270 Hac.
36%
%3,6
$4,723 Hac.
42%
%3,5
$31,386 Hac.
27%
%3,0
$277 Hac.
20%
%2,0
$341 Hac.
8%
%1,0
$39,233 Hac.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.26% as of April 17, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures after March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024—driven by energy and food costs, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting. This rebound from February's 2.4% rate has tempered rate-cut expectations to just one in 2026, with yields resisting declines amid elevated Treasury supply and political rhetoric pressuring Fed Chair Powell. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could nudge yields lower toward economist forecasts of 4.0-4.1% by early 2027, though sticky inflation poses upside risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Hacim
$213,149Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.26% as of April 17, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures after March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024—driven by energy and food costs, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting. This rebound from February's 2.4% rate has tempered rate-cut expectations to just one in 2026, with yields resisting declines amid elevated Treasury supply and political rhetoric pressuring Fed Chair Powell. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could nudge yields lower toward economist forecasts of 4.0-4.1% by early 2027, though sticky inflation poses upside risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Hacim
$213,149Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.26% as of April 17, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on persistent inflation pressures after March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024—driven by energy and food costs, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting. This rebound from February's 2.4% rate has tempered rate-cut expectations to just one in 2026, with yields resisting declines amid elevated Treasury supply and political rhetoric pressuring Fed Chair Powell. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could nudge yields lower toward economist forecasts of 4.0-4.1% by early 2027, though sticky inflation poses upside risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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