Trader consensus prices France at 71.5% to win Group I, driven by their elite squad depth around Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and recent prep victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1), mitigating Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that rules him out. Norway holds 24% implied probability thanks to Erling Haaland's explosive 2026 World Cup qualifiers (16 goals in 8 games) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as strong challengers despite Haaland's recent international dry spell. Senegal lags at 5.5% amid a tough opener versus France—recalling their 2002 upset—and solid but less potent CAF qualifying form, while Iraq remains a 0.3% longshot following their playoff triumph over Bolivia.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiFransa 71%
Norveç 21%
Senegal 7%
BOL/IRK/SUR <1%
$109,207 Hac.
$109,207 Hac.
27 Haz 2026
Fransa
71%
Norveç
21%
Senegal
7%
BOL/IRK/SUR
<1%
Fransa 71%
Norveç 21%
Senegal 7%
BOL/IRK/SUR <1%
$109,207 Hac.
$109,207 Hac.
27 Haz 2026
Fransa
$42,942 Hac.
71%
Norveç
$11,758 Hac.
21%
Senegal
$14,022 Hac.
7%
BOL/IRK/SUR
$41,817 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices France at 71.5% to win Group I, driven by their elite squad depth around Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and recent prep victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1), mitigating Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that rules him out. Norway holds 24% implied probability thanks to Erling Haaland's explosive 2026 World Cup qualifiers (16 goals in 8 games) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as strong challengers despite Haaland's recent international dry spell. Senegal lags at 5.5% amid a tough opener versus France—recalling their 2002 upset—and solid but less potent CAF qualifying form, while Iraq remains a 0.3% longshot following their playoff triumph over Bolivia.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Hacim
$109,207Bitiş Tarihi
27 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices France at 71.5% to win Group I, driven by their elite squad depth around Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and recent prep victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1), mitigating Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that rules him out. Norway holds 24% implied probability thanks to Erling Haaland's explosive 2026 World Cup qualifiers (16 goals in 8 games) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as strong challengers despite Haaland's recent international dry spell. Senegal lags at 5.5% amid a tough opener versus France—recalling their 2002 upset—and solid but less potent CAF qualifying form, while Iraq remains a 0.3% longshot following their playoff triumph over Bolivia.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$109,207Bitiş Tarihi
27 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices France at 71.5% to win Group I, driven by their elite squad depth around Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and recent prep victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1), mitigating Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that rules him out. Norway holds 24% implied probability thanks to Erling Haaland's explosive 2026 World Cup qualifiers (16 goals in 8 games) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as strong challengers despite Haaland's recent international dry spell. Senegal lags at 5.5% amid a tough opener versus France—recalling their 2002 upset—and solid but less potent CAF qualifying form, while Iraq remains a 0.3% longshot following their playoff triumph over Bolivia.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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