Trader consensus prices USA and the UEFA playoff winner—Turkey—at identical 38% implied probabilities to top FIFA World Cup Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a fiercely competitive pool also featuring Paraguay and Australia. Turkey's momentum surged from their gritty 1-0 playoff semifinal win over Romania and 1-0 final against Kosovo on March 31, propelling them into the tournament and erasing earlier qualification doubts, while USA leverages co-host home advantage across key matches like their Seattle opener versus Australia. Recent USMNT friendlies yielded 2-1 triumphs over Paraguay and Australia but a narrow 2-1 defeat to Turkey last June, highlighting stylistic clashes and vulnerability to counters. Paraguay's resilient CONMEBOL campaign supports their 17% standing, but Australia's 7% reflects qualification struggles and tougher path, with all squads injury-free in ongoing prep camps two months from kickoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 38%
ABD 38%
Paraguay 17%
Avustralya 7.1%
$27,062 Hac.
$27,062 Hac.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
38%
ABD
38%
Paraguay
17%
Avustralya
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 38%
ABD 38%
Paraguay 17%
Avustralya 7.1%
$27,062 Hac.
$27,062 Hac.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
38%
ABD
38%
Paraguay
17%
Avustralya
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA and the UEFA playoff winner—Turkey—at identical 38% implied probabilities to top FIFA World Cup Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a fiercely competitive pool also featuring Paraguay and Australia. Turkey's momentum surged from their gritty 1-0 playoff semifinal win over Romania and 1-0 final against Kosovo on March 31, propelling them into the tournament and erasing earlier qualification doubts, while USA leverages co-host home advantage across key matches like their Seattle opener versus Australia. Recent USMNT friendlies yielded 2-1 triumphs over Paraguay and Australia but a narrow 2-1 defeat to Turkey last June, highlighting stylistic clashes and vulnerability to counters. Paraguay's resilient CONMEBOL campaign supports their 17% standing, but Australia's 7% reflects qualification struggles and tougher path, with all squads injury-free in ongoing prep camps two months from kickoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular