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Siyaset·Arnavutluk

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Market icon
Siyaset·Arnavutluk

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

12% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
12% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama's Socialist Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Albania's May 2025 elections, winning 52% of votes and over 80 of 140 seats to deliver him an unprecedented fourth term as prime minister with control extending to 2029. Recent opposition-led protests in Tirana, escalating in February-April 2026 over corruption scandals like the indictment of former deputy PM Belinda Balluku, prompted a major government reshuffle dismissing seven ministers but failed to trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this institutional stability and Rama's firm grip on power amid ongoing EU accession talks, viewing protests as unlikely to force his exit this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$443
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama's Socialist Party secured a commanding parliamentary majority in Albania's May 2025 elections, winning 52% of votes and over 80 of 140 seats to deliver him an unprecedented fourth term as prime minister with control extending to 2029. Recent opposition-led protests in Tirana, escalating in February-April 2026 over corruption scandals like the indictment of former deputy PM Belinda Balluku, prompted a major government reshuffle dismissing seven ministers but failed to trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this institutional stability and Rama's firm grip on power amid ongoing EU accession talks, viewing protests as unlikely to force his exit this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$443
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 19%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 19¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 19% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 5, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 19%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 19% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.