Preliminary observations through April 18, 2026, place the month on track for the third-hottest April in NASA's GISS global land-ocean temperature index (LOTI) record, with an implied anomaly around 1.10–1.15°C above the 1951–1980 baseline—behind 2024's record +1.31°C and 2025's +1.24°C but ahead of 2020's +1.12°C. This trader consensus stems from sustained above-average surface air temperatures in early April, fueled by lingering effects from March's fourth-warmest ranking per Copernicus ERA5 and persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, tempered by the shift to ENSO-neutral conditions per NOAA's April 9 update. La Niña-like cooling signals reduce odds of surpassing the top two, though the final 11 days and dataset averaging introduce uncertainty; NASA GISS finalizes in late May.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 1, 2, 3 Nisan kayıtlardaki en sıcak mı?
2026 1, 2, 3 Nisan kayıtlardaki en sıcak mı?
En sıcak 3. 80%
En sıcak 2. 15%
En sıcak 1. 5.7%
4. veya daha düşük 2.4%
$79,018 Hac.
$79,018 Hac.
10 May 2026
En sıcak 1.
6%
En sıcak 2.
15%
En sıcak 3.
80%
4. veya daha düşük
2%
En sıcak 3. 80%
En sıcak 2. 15%
En sıcak 1. 5.7%
4. veya daha düşük 2.4%
$79,018 Hac.
$79,018 Hac.
10 May 2026
En sıcak 1.
$8,029 Hac.
6%
En sıcak 2.
$21,573 Hac.
15%
En sıcak 3.
$17,390 Hac.
80%
4. veya daha düşük
$32,025 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary observations through April 18, 2026, place the month on track for the third-hottest April in NASA's GISS global land-ocean temperature index (LOTI) record, with an implied anomaly around 1.10–1.15°C above the 1951–1980 baseline—behind 2024's record +1.31°C and 2025's +1.24°C but ahead of 2020's +1.12°C. This trader consensus stems from sustained above-average surface air temperatures in early April, fueled by lingering effects from March's fourth-warmest ranking per Copernicus ERA5 and persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, tempered by the shift to ENSO-neutral conditions per NOAA's April 9 update. La Niña-like cooling signals reduce odds of surpassing the top two, though the final 11 days and dataset averaging introduce uncertainty; NASA GISS finalizes in late May.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Hacim
$79,018Bitiş Tarihi
10 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary observations through April 18, 2026, place the month on track for the third-hottest April in NASA's GISS global land-ocean temperature index (LOTI) record, with an implied anomaly around 1.10–1.15°C above the 1951–1980 baseline—behind 2024's record +1.31°C and 2025's +1.24°C but ahead of 2020's +1.12°C. This trader consensus stems from sustained above-average surface air temperatures in early April, fueled by lingering effects from March's fourth-warmest ranking per Copernicus ERA5 and persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, tempered by the shift to ENSO-neutral conditions per NOAA's April 9 update. La Niña-like cooling signals reduce odds of surpassing the top two, though the final 11 days and dataset averaging introduce uncertainty; NASA GISS finalizes in late May.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Hacim
$79,018Bitiş Tarihi
10 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary observations through April 18, 2026, place the month on track for the third-hottest April in NASA's GISS global land-ocean temperature index (LOTI) record, with an implied anomaly around 1.10–1.15°C above the 1951–1980 baseline—behind 2024's record +1.31°C and 2025's +1.24°C but ahead of 2020's +1.12°C. This trader consensus stems from sustained above-average surface air temperatures in early April, fueled by lingering effects from March's fourth-warmest ranking per Copernicus ERA5 and persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, tempered by the shift to ENSO-neutral conditions per NOAA's April 9 update. La Niña-like cooling signals reduce odds of surpassing the top two, though the final 11 days and dataset averaging introduce uncertainty; NASA GISS finalizes in late May.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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