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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$483K Vol.

$138K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$198K today

$1M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

81%

<5

$10.5K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

71%

<5

$208 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

43%

55-59

$1.1K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

4%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

169

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

34%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$92.4K today

$209K Liq.

1,079

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

May 31

$433K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

10

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

3%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

65

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$21M Vol.

$714K today

$931K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$40M Vol.

$550K today

$498K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

12%

June 30, 2026

$763K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

44

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$18M Vol.

$154K today

$630K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

9%

$1M Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

23

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

50%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$405K today

$221K Liq.

472

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$90.0K today

$321K Liq.

385

Ends in about 1 month

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$390K Vol.

$120K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

25%

December 31

$594K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

7%

$1M Vol.

$109K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $145.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.