NRPUP has consolidated a commanding position as the likely second-place party in Zambia’s National Assembly following the August 13 general elections. The party, fielding Brian Mundubile as its presidential candidate, secured roughly 60 first-past-the-post seats and additional proportional-representation allocations based on national vote share, outpacing all other opposition groups amid UPND’s overall majority. This outcome reflects NRPUP’s emergence as the principal challenger after realignments from prior alliances, combined with limited candidate reach by smaller parties and independents across the expanded 226 constituencies. A handful of undeclared seats and any post-election petitions remain the main variables that could alter final tallies, though current declarations leave little scope for another grouping to overtake NRPUP’s seat total.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNRPUP 98.0%
UPND <1%
CF <1%
SP <1%
$7,894 Vol.
$7,894 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
UPND
No
NRPUP
Yes
CF
No
SP
No
NRPUP 98.0%
UPND <1%
CF <1%
SP <1%
$7,894 Vol.
$7,894 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
UPND
$684 Vol.
No
NRPUP
$5,687 Vol.
Yes
CF
$868 Vol.
No
SP
$654 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.NRPUP has consolidated a commanding position as the likely second-place party in Zambia’s National Assembly following the August 13 general elections. The party, fielding Brian Mundubile as its presidential candidate, secured roughly 60 first-past-the-post seats and additional proportional-representation allocations based on national vote share, outpacing all other opposition groups amid UPND’s overall majority. This outcome reflects NRPUP’s emergence as the principal challenger after realignments from prior alliances, combined with limited candidate reach by smaller parties and independents across the expanded 226 constituencies. A handful of undeclared seats and any post-election petitions remain the main variables that could alter final tallies, though current declarations leave little scope for another grouping to overtake NRPUP’s seat total.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 24, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$7,894Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.NRPUP has consolidated a commanding position as the likely second-place party in Zambia’s National Assembly following the August 13 general elections. The party, fielding Brian Mundubile as its presidential candidate, secured roughly 60 first-past-the-post seats and additional proportional-representation allocations based on national vote share, outpacing all other opposition groups amid UPND’s overall majority. This outcome reflects NRPUP’s emergence as the principal challenger after realignments from prior alliances, combined with limited candidate reach by smaller parties and independents across the expanded 226 constituencies. A handful of undeclared seats and any post-election petitions remain the main variables that could alter final tallies, though current declarations leave little scope for another grouping to overtake NRPUP’s seat total.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Volume
$7,894Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
NRPUP has consolidated a commanding position as the likely second-place party in Zambia’s National Assembly following the August 13 general elections. The party, fielding Brian Mundubile as its presidential candidate, secured roughly 60 first-past-the-post seats and additional proportional-representation allocations based on national vote share, outpacing all other opposition groups amid UPND’s overall majority. This outcome reflects NRPUP’s emergence as the principal challenger after realignments from prior alliances, combined with limited candidate reach by smaller parties and independents across the expanded 226 constituencies. A handful of undeclared seats and any post-election petitions remain the main variables that could alter final tallies, though current declarations leave little scope for another grouping to overtake NRPUP’s seat total.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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