Trump has exercised the pardon power extensively during his second term, issuing a blanket clemency for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and granting additional individual pardons and commutations in batches through mid-2026, including 17 on July 3 for Clean Air Act violations and other cases. Official Justice Department records document multiple rounds in January, February, and later months, often favoring politically connected recipients while denying thousands of standard applications. Trader sentiment for markets on future pardons by a given date reflects this pattern of repeated executive action, the constitutional scope of clemency, and the absence of new procedural barriers, tempered by the possibility of pauses between announcements or shifts in priorities ahead of scheduled legislative or diplomatic events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$10,618 Vol.

August 31
30%
$10,618 Vol.

August 31
30%
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised the pardon power extensively during his second term, issuing a blanket clemency for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and granting additional individual pardons and commutations in batches through mid-2026, including 17 on July 3 for Clean Air Act violations and other cases. Official Justice Department records document multiple rounds in January, February, and later months, often favoring politically connected recipients while denying thousands of standard applications. Trader sentiment for markets on future pardons by a given date reflects this pattern of repeated executive action, the constitutional scope of clemency, and the absence of new procedural barriers, tempered by the possibility of pauses between announcements or shifts in priorities ahead of scheduled legislative or diplomatic events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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