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Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?

icon for Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?

Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$6,367 Vol.

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$6,367 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding finalized in mid-June 2026 and slated for formalization on June 19 in Switzerland, has centered on ceasefire extensions, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear talks between Presidents Trump and Pezeshkian. However, these developments remain strictly procedural through electronic signatures, mediators, and official channels, with no scheduled in-person meetings or personal interactions in the final 48-hour window before the June 20 cutoff. Established diplomatic protocols, ongoing bilateral tensions, and Trump’s public schedule make any physical gesture like a hug between leaders improbable. Trader consensus at 98.5% No reflects this structural separation of formal negotiations from informal contact. A last-minute unannounced summit or protocol breach could theoretically shift the outcome, though no credible signals point to such an event.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$6,367
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Recent diplomatic progress, including a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding finalized in mid-June 2026 and slated for formalization on June 19 in Switzerland, has centered on ceasefire extensions, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and nuclear talks between Presidents Trump and Pezeshkian. However, these developments remain strictly procedural through electronic signatures, mediators, and official channels, with no scheduled in-person meetings or personal interactions in the final 48-hour window before the June 20 cutoff. Established diplomatic protocols, ongoing bilateral tensions, and Trump’s public schedule make any physical gesture like a hug between leaders improbable. Trader consensus at 98.5% No reflects this structural separation of formal negotiations from informal contact. A last-minute unannounced summit or protocol breach could theoretically shift the outcome, though no credible signals point to such an event.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$6,367
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 0% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 0¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 0% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 15, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?" ay 0% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 0% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.