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icon for Will Sweden join NATO by...?
Politika·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

icon for Will Sweden join NATO by...?
Politika·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

$398,465 Vol.

Apr 28, 2023
Polymarket

$398,465 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for April 30

April 30

$337 Vol.

No

icon for May 31

May 31

$599 Vol.

No

icon for June 30

June 30

$4,875 Vol.

No

icon for July 12

July 12

$97,296 Vol.

No

icon for August 31

August 31

$216,796 Vol.

No

icon for October 31

October 31

$62,248 Vol.

No

icon for December 31

December 31

$16,315 Vol.

No

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used. This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billstrom has stated that Sweden hopes to be a member of NATO by the time of the alliance's summit in Vilnius, which is scheduled to take place on July 11-12, 2023. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by July 12, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Volume
$398,465
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2023, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used. This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billstrom has stated that Sweden hopes to be a member of NATO by the time of the alliance's summit in Vilnius, which is scheduled to take place on July 11-12, 2023. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by July 12, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Volume
$398,465
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2023, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This is a market on whether Sweden will officially join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as a full member state by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Sweden join NATO by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "April 30" sa 0%, sinusundan ng "May 31" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will Sweden join NATO by...?" ay naka-generate ng $398.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 9, 2023. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Sweden join NATO by...?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Will Sweden join NATO by...?" ay "April 30" sa 0% lang, na may "May 31" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Sweden join NATO by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.