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icon for Will SVB fail?

Will SVB fail?

icon for Will SVB fail?

Will SVB fail?

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,155 Vol.

0% tsansa
Polymarket

$1,155 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes." Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes."

Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,155
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 17, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 9, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes." Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes." Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes."

Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,155
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 17, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 9, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be or is closing, filing for bankruptcy, liquidated, is insolvent, or otherwise fails by March 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SVB is acquired, bought out, or sold, it will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes" - however if SVB fails and the FDIC finds a bank to take them over, the market will resolve to "Yes." Announcement before the resolution date counts even if the action doesn't take place until after the resolution date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Silicon Valley Bank, an acquirer of Silicon Valley Bank, and/or the FDIC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will SVB fail?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 100% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 100¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 100% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will SVB fail?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Mar 10, 2023. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will SVB fail?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will SVB fail?" ay 100% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 100% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will SVB fail?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.