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Will OpenAI buy X before July?

icon for Will OpenAI buy X before July?

Will OpenAI buy X before July?

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$99,824 Vol.

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$99,824 Vol.

On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify.

An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,824
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify.

An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,824
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will OpenAI buy X before July?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 0% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 0¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 0% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will OpenAI buy X before July?" ay naka-generate ng $99.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 10, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will OpenAI buy X before July?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will OpenAI buy X before July?" ay 0% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 0% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will OpenAI buy X before July?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.