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Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

icon for Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX. If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.”

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX.

If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,104
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2022
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX. If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX. If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.”

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX.

If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,104
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2022
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX withdrawals for USDC, BTC, ETH and/or SOL are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If a consensus of credible reporting states that FTX is insolvent by Dec 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET this market will also resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". FTX withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their USDC, BTC, ETH, and/or SOL from FTX. If FTX suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of December (e.g FTX halts token withdrawals on December 30, 2022, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Dec 30 - Jan 6, 2022, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official information released by FTX, the leadership of FTX, and/or official representatives of FTX (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 100% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 100¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 100% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?" ay naka-generate ng $190.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 7, 2022. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?" ay 100% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 100% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.