**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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