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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$419,299 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$419,299 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,521 Vol.

40%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Vol.

21%

Daniel Penny

$447 Vol.

19%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Vol.

18%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Vol.

17%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Vol.

16%

Roger Stone

$3,487 Vol.

14%

Donald Brodie

$1,195 Vol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Vol.

10%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Vol.

9%

Bob Menendez

$195 Vol.

8%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

7%

Martin Shkreli

$29,664 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$3,037 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$25,473 Vol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,366 Vol.

6%

Himself

$12,557 Vol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,451 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,103 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,533 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,547 Vol.

4%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$21,878 Vol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,580 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing mass pardons and commutations to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day in January 2025, followed by additional grants for fake electors in late 2025 and scattered individual cases through mid-2026, including securities fraud and regulatory violations. A dedicated pardon advisor position was created early in the term to screen candidates, and reports indicate ongoing consideration of further actions for political allies, contributors, and select high-profile figures before the 2027 cutoff. Trader focus centers on patterns of timing—early blanket actions versus later targeted grants—along with procedural factors such as Senate dynamics for related legislation and the absence of formal term limits on the pardon power itself. Upcoming catalysts include any year-end 2026 announcements or shifts in DOJ recommendations that could expand the list of recipients.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$419,299
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing mass pardons and commutations to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day in January 2025, followed by additional grants for fake electors in late 2025 and scattered individual cases through mid-2026, including securities fraud and regulatory violations. A dedicated pardon advisor position was created early in the term to screen candidates, and reports indicate ongoing consideration of further actions for political allies, contributors, and select high-profile figures before the 2027 cutoff. Trader focus centers on patterns of timing—early blanket actions versus later targeted grants—along with procedural factors such as Senate dynamics for related legislation and the absence of formal term limits on the pardon power itself. Upcoming catalysts include any year-end 2026 announcements or shifts in DOJ recommendations that could expand the list of recipients.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$419,299
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 28 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ryan Salame" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Matt Gaetz" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $419.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," i-browse ang 28 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay "Ryan Salame" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Matt Gaetz" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.