No major Republican contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of early September 2026, leaving the field open ahead of the November midterms and keeping "Other" at 50%. Ted Cruz has driven his 41.5% odds through repeated signals, including Iowa travel, staff outreach, a book tour, and public comments framing himself as part of the party’s future direction while questioning automatic coalescence around Vice President J.D. Vance. Rand Paul’s 24.8% reflects his earlier statements weighing a run at even odds and positioning as a more traditional conservative alternative. Figures such as Ron DeSantis, Marco Rubio, and Vance top nomination polling but have avoided early formal steps, while lower-priced names like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Vivek Ramaswamy show limited recent movement. The compressed timeline for post-midterm announcements sustains the tight contest among active signalers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTed Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 17%
Rand Paul 12.0%
J.D. Vance 11%
Ted Cruz
42%
Ron DeSantis
17%
Rand Paul
12%
J.D. Vance
11%
Donald Trump
8%
Marco Rubio
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
9%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Ted Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 17%
Rand Paul 12.0%
J.D. Vance 11%
Ted Cruz
42%
Ron DeSantis
17%
Rand Paul
12%
J.D. Vance
11%
Donald Trump
8%
Marco Rubio
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
9%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...No major Republican contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of early September 2026, leaving the field open ahead of the November midterms and keeping "Other" at 50%. Ted Cruz has driven his 41.5% odds through repeated signals, including Iowa travel, staff outreach, a book tour, and public comments framing himself as part of the party’s future direction while questioning automatic coalescence around Vice President J.D. Vance. Rand Paul’s 24.8% reflects his earlier statements weighing a run at even odds and positioning as a more traditional conservative alternative. Figures such as Ron DeSantis, Marco Rubio, and Vance top nomination polling but have avoided early formal steps, while lower-priced names like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Vivek Ramaswamy show limited recent movement. The compressed timeline for post-midterm announcements sustains the tight contest among active signalers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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