OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the 92.5% implied probability that it holds the best text-to-image model by month-end. The update delivers up to 50% lower latency, sharper textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and stronger subject preservation from references, quickly claiming top Elo rankings on Artificial Analysis and LMArena boards ahead of Google’s Nano Banana, Microsoft MAI, and Meta Muse models. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s sustained lead in prompt adherence and photorealism benchmarks. A credible new release or benchmark reversal from a rival before September 30 could still narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?
OpenAI 92.5%
Google 2.2%
SpaceXAI 2.2%
Microsoft AI 1.9%
$46,449 Vol.
$46,449 Vol.

OpenAI
92%

2%

SpaceXAI
2%

Microsoft AI
2%

Meta
2%

Black Forest Labs
1%

ByteDance
1%

Recraft
1%

Tencent
1%

Reve
<1%

Ideogram
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%
OpenAI 92.5%
Google 2.2%
SpaceXAI 2.2%
Microsoft AI 1.9%
$46,449 Vol.
$46,449 Vol.

OpenAI
92%

2%

SpaceXAI
2%

Microsoft AI
2%

Meta
2%

Black Forest Labs
1%

ByteDance
1%

Recraft
1%

Tencent
1%

Reve
<1%

Ideogram
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, drives the 92.5% implied probability that it holds the best text-to-image model by month-end. The update delivers up to 50% lower latency, sharper textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and stronger subject preservation from references, quickly claiming top Elo rankings on Artificial Analysis and LMArena boards ahead of Google’s Nano Banana, Microsoft MAI, and Meta Muse models. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s sustained lead in prompt adherence and photorealism benchmarks. A credible new release or benchmark reversal from a rival before September 30 could still narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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