Anthropic’s Claude models, including recent releases like Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, dominate the Text Arena leaderboard in math categories with top Elo scores and strong showings on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME-style evaluations. Multiple frontier models from the company have held the highest positions through July and early August 2026, widening the gap over competitors amid steady release cadence and verified gains in numerical reasoning and competition-level problem solving. Traders price Anthropic at a 90% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of August because no rival has shipped a comparable update to close the performance differential. Resolution hinges on the final leaderboard snapshot, leaving room for a late surprise from labs like Google or OpenAI if new capabilities emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
Anthropic 90%
OpenAI 5.2%
Google 2.1%
Alibaba <1%
$82,931 Vol.
$82,931 Vol.

Anthropic
90%

OpenAI
5%

2%

Alibaba
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 90%
OpenAI 5.2%
Google 2.1%
Alibaba <1%
$82,931 Vol.
$82,931 Vol.

Anthropic
90%

OpenAI
5%

2%

Alibaba
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude models, including recent releases like Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5, dominate the Text Arena leaderboard in math categories with top Elo scores and strong showings on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME-style evaluations. Multiple frontier models from the company have held the highest positions through July and early August 2026, widening the gap over competitors amid steady release cadence and verified gains in numerical reasoning and competition-level problem solving. Traders price Anthropic at a 90% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of August because no rival has shipped a comparable update to close the performance differential. Resolution hinges on the final leaderboard snapshot, leaving room for a late surprise from labs like Google or OpenAI if new capabilities emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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