Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 60.5% implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, driven by recent Claude releases such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 posting leading or near-leading results in the category, including 97.0% on math subtasks and 97.6% on USAMO 2026. These models leverage extended reasoning and high-effort modes that excel on contamination-resistant, competition-level problems, outpacing OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5 variants (currently at 35.5%) on several refreshed LiveBench snapshots. Google and other labs trail sharply at 1.5% or below, reflecting slower math-specific gains. With roughly eight weeks until resolution, new model drops or benchmark refreshes remain key swing factors that could narrow Anthropic’s edge if OpenAI counters with targeted updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 36%
Google 1.5%
Meta <1%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
61%
OpenAI
36%
2%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 36%
Google 1.5%
Meta <1%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,277 Vol.
61%
OpenAI
$6,281 Vol.
36%
$1,336 Vol.
2%
Meta
$501 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$483 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$513 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 60.5% implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, driven by recent Claude releases such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 posting leading or near-leading results in the category, including 97.0% on math subtasks and 97.6% on USAMO 2026. These models leverage extended reasoning and high-effort modes that excel on contamination-resistant, competition-level problems, outpacing OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5 variants (currently at 35.5%) on several refreshed LiveBench snapshots. Google and other labs trail sharply at 1.5% or below, reflecting slower math-specific gains. With roughly eight weeks until resolution, new model drops or benchmark refreshes remain key swing factors that could narrow Anthropic’s edge if OpenAI counters with targeted updates.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,229Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 60.5% implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, driven by recent Claude releases such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 posting leading or near-leading results in the category, including 97.0% on math subtasks and 97.6% on USAMO 2026. These models leverage extended reasoning and high-effort modes that excel on contamination-resistant, competition-level problems, outpacing OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5 variants (currently at 35.5%) on several refreshed LiveBench snapshots. Google and other labs trail sharply at 1.5% or below, reflecting slower math-specific gains. With roughly eight weeks until resolution, new model drops or benchmark refreshes remain key swing factors that could narrow Anthropic’s edge if OpenAI counters with targeted updates.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$21,229Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 60.5% implied probability for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, driven by recent Claude releases such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 posting leading or near-leading results in the category, including 97.0% on math subtasks and 97.6% on USAMO 2026. These models leverage extended reasoning and high-effort modes that excel on contamination-resistant, competition-level problems, outpacing OpenAI’s o3-mini and GPT-5 variants (currently at 35.5%) on several refreshed LiveBench snapshots. Google and other labs trail sharply at 1.5% or below, reflecting slower math-specific gains. With roughly eight weeks until resolution, new model drops or benchmark refreshes remain key swing factors that could narrow Anthropic’s edge if OpenAI counters with targeted updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong