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icon for Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?
Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?

icon for Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?
Teknolohiya·Big Tech

Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?

Ended: Apr 30

Jun 30

Jul 31

Dec 31

Ended: Apr 30

Jun 30

Jul 31

Dec 31

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$21,090,676 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$21,090,676 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$1,984,853 Vol.

Oo

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$3,967,329 Vol.

Hindi

icon for xAI

xAI

$1,023,331 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$1,502,907 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$1,233,918 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$716,466 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$1,079,580 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Meta

Meta

$590,622 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Google

Google

$1,398,473 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$1,160,561 Vol.

Hindi

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$951,517 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$813,794 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$1,218,664 Vol.

Hindi

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$3,245,078 Vol.

Hindi

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$203,583 Vol.

Hindi

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands 100% market-implied odds as the company with the best AI model end of April 2026, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model securing the top rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Text Arena Overall tab (1504 Elo score). Released on April 16, this frontier model dominates key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (82% in coding) and excels in math and agentic tasks, maintaining a clear edge over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro amid no competing launches in the final weeks. Amazon trails at 0.1%, reflecting its Bedrock hosting role without proprietary leadership. With resolution imminent at noon ET via lmarena.ai rankings, only an unforeseen last-minute model drop and leaderboard refresh could challenge this trader consensus, though release cadences make it unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$21,090,676
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Oo

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands 100% market-implied odds as the company with the best AI model end of April 2026, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model securing the top rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Text Arena Overall tab (1504 Elo score). Released on April 16, this frontier model dominates key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (82% in coding) and excels in math and agentic tasks, maintaining a clear edge over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro amid no competing launches in the final weeks. Amazon trails at 0.1%, reflecting its Bedrock hosting role without proprietary leadership. With resolution imminent at noon ET via lmarena.ai rankings, only an unforeseen last-minute model drop and leaderboard refresh could challenge this trader consensus, though release cadences make it unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$21,090,676
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Oo

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Anthropic" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "OpenAI" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?" ay naka-generate ng $21.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?" ay "Anthropic" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "OpenAI" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Abril?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.