Traders assign a 66% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace talks that have produced only periodic calls and envoy visits since the August 2025 Alaska summit. Recent July 2026 phone contacts reaffirmed dialogue without scheduling a follow-up, while U.S. focus on Iran and NATO tensions has reduced near-term summit momentum. Strong Russia-China coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Beijing meeting and joint statements, positions China as the clearest alternative venue at 26%. Other locations remain low-probability due to security, protocol, and diplomatic barriers, with G20 speculation in Miami offering limited upside absent confirmed attendance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 66%
China 26%
Russia 2.1%
United States 1.5%
$352,417 Vol.
$352,417 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
66%

China
26%

Russia
2%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 66%
China 26%
Russia 2.1%
United States 1.5%
$352,417 Vol.
$352,417 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
66%

China
26%

Russia
2%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 66% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end amid stalled Ukraine peace talks that have produced only periodic calls and envoy visits since the August 2025 Alaska summit. Recent July 2026 phone contacts reaffirmed dialogue without scheduling a follow-up, while U.S. focus on Iran and NATO tensions has reduced near-term summit momentum. Strong Russia-China coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Beijing meeting and joint statements, positions China as the clearest alternative venue at 26%. Other locations remain low-probability due to security, protocol, and diplomatic barriers, with G20 speculation in Miami offering limited upside absent confirmed attendance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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